Botafogo U20vs
Palmeiras U20
COMPLETEDBrazil · Copa do Brasil U20 · 10/22/2026, 7:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Palmeiras U20 · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (8%), 2-2 (8%), 1-2 (7%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Botafogo U20 2-4 Palmeiras U20
Original prediction
Palmeiras U20
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 13 October 2026 at 00:44 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 3.26 | 27.5% | 35.0% | 7.5 pts |
| Draw | 3.55 | 25.3% | 24.3% | -0.9 pts |
| Away | 1.90 | 47.2% | 40.7% | -6.6 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.90 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-6.6 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–18%
- 2.2–28%
- 3.1–27%
Predicted outcome
Palmeiras U20
Probability
40.7%
Model confidence
40.7%
Palmeiras U20 has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 6 · GA 8 · avg 1.20/1.60
GF 22 · GA 5 · avg 4.40/1.00