GGOALVIO

Brazil · Carioca U20 · 6/29/2024, 1:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Botafogo U20 · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Botafogo U20 are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (LWDDW), averaging 1.80 scored and 2.00 conceded, while Bangu U20 are 2W-0D-1L in their last 3 (LWW), averaging 1.00 scored and 0.33 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 8 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and Botafogo U20 hold an 11.8-point power-rating edge (48.3 v 36.5). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 39.5% in the Carioca U20, while Botafogo U20 holds the strongest overall chance at 40% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 46% BTTS chance and 38% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Botafogo U20

Probability

39.5%

Model confidence

39.5%

Botafogo U20 has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Botafogo U20LWDDW

GF 9 · GA 10 · avg 1.80/2.00

BTTS 4/5O2.5 3/5
Bangu U20LWW

GF 3 · GA 1 · avg 1.00/0.33

BTTS 0/3O2.5 0/3
Botafogo U20Bangu U20
33.3Attack16.7
66.7Defence66.7
33.3Form16.7
48.3Power36.5
1.26xG0.96
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