Botafogo U20vs
Bahia U20
COMPLETEDBrazil · Copa do Brasil U20 · 10/8/2026, 11:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Botafogo U20 · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 2-1 (8%), 1-1 (8%), 2-2 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Botafogo U20 1-0 Bahia U20
Original prediction
Botafogo U20
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 12 September 2026 at 18:18 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.90 | 47.4% | 42.3% | -5.1 pts |
| Draw | 3.50 | 25.7% | 25.6% | -0.2 pts |
| Away | 3.35 | 26.9% | 32.1% | 5.3 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.90 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-5.1 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.2–18%
- 2.1–18%
- 3.2–28%
Predicted outcome
Botafogo U20
Probability
42.3%
Model confidence
42.3%
Botafogo U20 has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 8 · GA 8 · avg 1.60/1.60
GF 22 · GA 6 · avg 4.40/1.20