GGOALVIO

Brazil · Serie B · 4/5/2026, 11:30:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Botafogo SP · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0

Highconfidence

Botafogo SP are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WWDLW), averaging 1.40 scored and 0.60 conceded, while São Bernardo are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (LDDWW), averaging 1.00 scored and 0.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 10 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and São Bernardo hold a 3.1-point power-rating edge (51.1 v 54.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 15.6% in the Serie B, while Botafogo SP holds the strongest overall chance at 34% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 40% BTTS chance and 31% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Botafogo SP

Probability

34.3%

Model confidence

15.6%

Botafogo SP has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Botafogo SPWWDLW

GF 7 · GA 3 · avg 1.40/0.60

BTTS 1/5O2.5 2/5
São BernardoLDDWW

GF 5 · GA 3 · avg 1.00/0.60

BTTS 2/5O2.5 1/5
Botafogo SPSão Bernardo
41.3Attack49.2
65.1Defence61.9
42.9Form47.6
51.1Power54.3
1.00xG0.95
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