GGOALVIO

Brazil · Serie B · 4/21/2023, 10:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Botafogo SP · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0

Highconfidence

Botafogo SP are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (WLWDD), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.20 conceded, while Sampaio Correa are 0W-1D-1L in their last 2 (DL), averaging 2.00 scored and 2.50 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 7 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Botafogo SP hold a 7.9-point power-rating edge (51.1 v 43.2). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 43.2% in the Serie B, while Botafogo SP holds the strongest overall chance at 43% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 27% BTTS chance and 20% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Botafogo SP

Probability

43.2%

Model confidence

43.2%

Botafogo SP has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Botafogo SPWLWDD

GF 7 · GA 6 · avg 1.40/1.20

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
Sampaio CorreaDL

GF 4 · GA 5 · avg 2.00/2.50

BTTS 2/2O2.5 2/2
Botafogo SPSampaio Correa
41.3Attack27.2
65.1Defence62.3
42.9Form34.2
51.1Power43.2
1.02xG0.51
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