Botafogo SPvs
Goias
COMPLETEDBrazil · Serie B · 9/14/2026, 10:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Botafogo SP · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Botafogo SP 0-0 Goias, with an exact score probability of 21%.
Prediction record
Final result
Botafogo SP 1-3 Goias
Original prediction
Botafogo SP
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 31 August 2026 at 00:01 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.30 | 40.1% | 42.7% | 2.6 pts |
| Draw | 2.83 | 32.6% | 31.4% | -1.2 pts |
| Away | 3.39 | 27.2% | 25.9% | -1.4 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
2.6 pts
Projected Score
Botafogo SP 0–0 Goias
Exact score probability: 21%
Predicted outcome
Botafogo SP
Probability
42.7%
Model confidence
42.7%
Botafogo SP has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
Botafogo SPLLLLD
GF 3 · GA 10 · avg 0.60/2.00
BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
GoiasLLWDL
GF 3 · GA 6 · avg 0.60/1.20
BTTS 2/5O2.5 1/5
Botafogo SPGoias
37.0Attack30.9
60.5Defence59.3
38.3Form44.4
46.9Power47.1
0.97xG0.67