Botafogo SPvs
Fortaleza EC
COMPLETEDBrazil · Serie B · 3/21/2026, 10:15:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0
Botafogo SP are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (DLWWD), averaging 0.60 scored and 0.60 conceded, while Fortaleza EC are 4W-0D-1L in their last 5 (WWWLW), averaging 2.00 scored and 1.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and Fortaleza EC hold a 4.4-point power-rating edge (51.1 v 55.5). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 42.8% in the Serie B, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 43% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 31% BTTS chance and 21% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
42.8%
Model confidence
42.8%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 3 · GA 3 · avg 0.60/0.60
GF 10 · GA 8 · avg 2.00/1.60