Botafogo SPvs
Cuiaba
COMPLETEDBrazil · Serie B · 8/29/2026, 9:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Botafogo SP 0-0 Cuiaba, with an exact score probability of 31%.
Prediction record
Final result
Botafogo SP 1-2 Cuiaba
Original prediction
Draw
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 26 August 2026 at 01:02 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.07 | 44.9% | 35.9% | -9.0 pts |
| Draw | 2.96 | 31.4% | 35.8% | 4.3 pts |
| Away | 3.91 | 23.8% | 28.4% | 4.6 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
4.3 pts
Projected Score
Botafogo SP 0–0 Cuiaba
Exact score probability: 31%
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
35.8%
Model confidence
35.9%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
Botafogo SPLDWWL
GF 4 · GA 6 · avg 0.80/1.20
BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
CuiabaDWWDD
GF 7 · GA 4 · avg 1.40/0.80
BTTS 4/5O2.5 1/5
Botafogo SPCuiaba
38.9Attack29.2
63.9Defence75.0
43.1Form45.8
50.2Power52.3
0.62xG0.58