Serie BSerie B
Tuesday, 30 June 2026Last updated 10:02
Botafogo SP

Botafogo SP

Home
DWL
01
Full time
CRB

CRB

Away
WDLW
Estadio Santa Cruz
GoalVio prediction
49% confidence
Botafogo SP(49%)
Most likely exact score2-1
Prediction missed— Result: CRB
Win probability
Botafogo SP
49%
Draw
28%
CRB
24%
Predicted winner is based on the highest win probability.
Intelligence snapshot
Attack
Botafogo SP
73
CRB
44
Defence
Botafogo SP
39
CRB
27
Momentum
Botafogo SP
44
CRB
58
Danger (xG)
Botafogo SP
1.80
CRB
1.11
Both teams to score
No
Over 2.5 goals
No
xG for (Botafogo SP)
1.80
avg per match
xG for (CRB)
1.11
avg per match
xG against (Botafogo SP)
1.50
avg per match
xG against (CRB)
1.57
avg per match

Momentum trend

last 5 matches
Botafogo SPBotafogo SP
DWLWL
CRBCRB
WDLWD

Probability breakdown

49% confidence
Botafogo SP49%
Draw28%
CRB24%

Botafogo SP leads with 49% — the model's highest-probability outcome for this fixture.

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Analysis

Match insights

Botafogo SP head into this in Serie B fixture at Estadio Santa Cruz in mixed form (DWL), while CRB arrive in decent form (WDLW). Botafogo SP have a 33% win rate across their last 3 matches, compared to 50% for CRB over 4 games.

The model rates Botafogo SP's attack at 73/100 against a 27/100 CRB defence, and CRB's attack at 44/100 against a 39/100 Botafogo SP backline — a balanced matchup with neither side holding a clear structural edge.

Botafogo SP have won 1 of their last 2 home fixtures, averaging 1.5 goals scored and 1.0 conceded per game at home. CRB have won 1 of their last 2 away fixtures, averaging 0.5 goals scored and 2.5 conceded per away game.

Botafogo SP have generated 0.62 xG per game recently while conceding 0.52 xG per match, underperforming their xG in 100% of recent matches. CRB have generated 1.75 xG per game recently while conceding 0.89 xG per match, overperforming their xG in 100% of recent matches.

CRB have dominated recent head-to-head meetings, winning 1 of the last 1 encounters, averaging 1.0 goals per game.

The GoalVio engine projects Botafogo SP to win with 49% confidence. and a most likely scoreline of 2-1. Win probabilities: Botafogo SP 4856%, Draw 2770%, CRB 2374%. BTTS: No, Over 2.5: No.

Head to head

Botafogo SP 0Draws 01 CRB
Avg goals: 1.0
1 Jul 2026
Botafogo SP
L01
CRB

Recent form

Botafogo SP

Botafogo SP

D
@ Sport Recife
11 Jul 2026
33
W
vs Avai
6 Jul 2026
31
L
vs CRB
1 Jul 2026
01
W
@ Ceara
20 Jun 2026
10
L
@ Vila Nova
9 Jun 2026
01
xG 0.6
CRB

CRB

W
vs Nautico Recife
17 Jul 2026
21
D
vs Goias
12 Jul 2026
22
xG 1.8
L
@ Londrina
4 Jul 2026
05
W
@ Botafogo SP
1 Jul 2026
10
D
vs Fortaleza EC
21 Jun 2026
11

Frequently asked questions

Who will win Botafogo SP vs CRB?

GoalVio's model predicts Botafogo SP to win with 49% confidence.

What is the predicted score for Botafogo SP vs CRB?

The most likely scoreline according to GoalVio's Skellam-DC model is 2-1.

Will both teams score in Botafogo SP vs CRB?

GoalVio's model predicts BTTS: No — at least one team is expected to keep a clean sheet.

Will there be over 2.5 goals in Botafogo SP vs CRB?

GoalVio's model predicts Over 2.5 Goals: No — fewer than 3 goals are expected.

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About this prediction
GoalVio Prediction Engine v5 — updated dailyPowered by Poisson, xG and momentum modelsAccuracy last 30 days: 54%Last model update:
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