Botafogo SPvs
Ceara
COMPLETEDBrazil · Serie B · 10/13/2026, 12:00:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Botafogo SP · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Botafogo SP 0-0 Ceara, with an exact score probability of 18%.
Prediction record
Final result
Botafogo SP 1-0 Ceara
Original prediction
Botafogo SP
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 14 September 2026 at 09:28 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.12 | 43.8% | 40.4% | -3.4 pts |
| Draw | 3.14 | 29.5% | 30.6% | 1.0 pts |
| Away | 3.48 | 26.6% | 29.0% | 2.4 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 1.12 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-3.4 pts
Projected Score
Botafogo SP 0–0 Ceara
Exact score probability: 18%
Predicted outcome
Botafogo SP
Probability
40.4%
Model confidence
40.4%
Botafogo SP has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
Botafogo SPWLWDL
GF 6 · GA 6 · avg 1.20/1.20
BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
CearaWWDWD
GF 7 · GA 4 · avg 1.40/0.80
BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
Botafogo SPCeara
37.5Attack36.5
60.4Defence59.4
39.6Form43.8
47.5Power49.1
0.97xG0.80