Botafogo SP U20vs
EC São Bernardo U20
COMPLETEDBrazil · Paulista - U20 · 9/12/2026, 6:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Botafogo SP U20 · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (13%), 1-0 (11%), 2-0 (10%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Botafogo SP U20 1-1 EC São Bernardo U20
Original prediction
Botafogo SP U20
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 29 August 2026 at 00:11 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.84 | 49.0% | 49.3% | 0.3 pts |
| Draw | 3.41 | 26.4% | 25.8% | -0.6 pts |
| Away | 3.65 | 24.6% | 24.9% | 0.3 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.41 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
0.3 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–113%
- 2.1–011%
- 3.2–010%
Predicted outcome
Botafogo SP U20
Probability
49.3%
Model confidence
49.3%
Botafogo SP U20 has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 15 · GA 3 · avg 3.00/0.60
GF 11 · GA 4 · avg 2.20/0.80