Botafogo PBvs
Maringá
COMPLETEDBrazil · Serie C · 9/26/2026, 8:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Botafogo PB · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (14%), 1-0 (12%), 0-0 (11%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Botafogo PB 0-0 Maringá
Original prediction
Botafogo PB
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 3 September 2026 at 20:36 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.32 | 38.7% | 40.1% | 1.4 pts |
| Draw | 3.11 | 28.9% | 28.5% | -0.4 pts |
| Away | 2.76 | 32.5% | 31.4% | -1.1 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.11 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
1.4 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–114%
- 2.1–012%
- 3.0–011%
Predicted outcome
Botafogo PB
Probability
40.1%
Model confidence
40.1%
Botafogo PB has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 5 · GA 5 · avg 1.00/1.00
GF 6 · GA 2 · avg 1.20/0.40