Botafogo PBvs
Floresta
COMPLETEDBrazil · Serie C · 9/12/2026, 8:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Botafogo PB · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Botafogo PB 0-0 Floresta, with an exact score probability of 19%.
Prediction record
Final result
Botafogo PB 0-1 Floresta
Original prediction
Botafogo PB
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 3 September 2026 at 20:35 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.67 | 54.0% | 42.6% | -11.3 pts |
| Draw | 3.15 | 28.7% | 31.1% | 2.4 pts |
| Away | 5.20 | 17.4% | 26.3% | 8.9 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-11.3 pts
Projected Score
Botafogo PB 0–0 Floresta
Exact score probability: 19%
Predicted outcome
Botafogo PB
Probability
42.6%
Model confidence
42.6%
Botafogo PB has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
Botafogo PBLWWDD
GF 7 · GA 4 · avg 1.40/0.80
BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
FlorestaLWWWL
GF 6 · GA 6 · avg 1.20/1.20
BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
Botafogo PBFloresta
46.7Attack36.7
66.7Defence65.0
55.0Form50.0
57.5Power53.2
1.06xG0.66