Boston Unitedvs
Woking
COMPLETEDEngland · National League · 9/15/2026, 6:45:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Boston United · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (13%), 2-1 (9%), 1-0 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Boston United 1-1 Woking
Original prediction
Boston United
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 1 September 2026 at 00:01 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.20 | 41.3% | 40.8% | -0.5 pts |
| Draw | 3.38 | 27.0% | 26.6% | -0.4 pts |
| Away | 2.88 | 31.7% | 32.6% | 1.0 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.38 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-0.5 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–113%
- 2.2–19%
- 3.1–08%
Predicted outcome
Boston United
Probability
40.8%
Model confidence
40.8%
Boston United has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 7 · GA 10 · avg 1.40/2.00
GF 9 · GA 6 · avg 1.80/1.20