Boston Unitedvs
Wealdstone
COMPLETEDEngland · National League · 9/12/2026, 2:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Boston United · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (12%), 2-1 (10%), 1-0 (9%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Boston United 1-3 Wealdstone
Original prediction
Boston United
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 29 August 2026 at 00:07 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.08 | 43.9% | 47.1% | 3.3 pts |
| Draw | 3.47 | 26.3% | 25.6% | -0.7 pts |
| Away | 3.06 | 29.8% | 27.2% | -2.6 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
3.3 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–112%
- 2.2–110%
- 3.1–09%
Predicted outcome
Boston United
Probability
47.1%
Model confidence
47.1%
Boston United has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 8 · GA 7 · avg 1.60/1.40
GF 5 · GA 9 · avg 1.00/1.80