Boston Unitedvs
Southend
COMPLETEDEngland · National League · 10/10/2026, 2:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Southend · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-2 (9%), 1-3 (9%), 0-2 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Boston United 1-2 Southend
Original prediction
Southend
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 26 September 2026 at 00:03 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 3.66 | 25.0% | 21.0% | -4.0 pts |
| Draw | 3.91 | 23.3% | 21.3% | -2.0 pts |
| Away | 1.77 | 51.7% | 57.7% | 6.0 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.77 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
6.0 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–29%
- 2.1–39%
- 3.0–28%
Predicted outcome
Southend
Probability
57.7%
Model confidence
57.7%
Southend has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 5 · GA 10 · avg 1.00/2.00
GF 15 · GA 8 · avg 3.00/1.60