Boston Unitedvs
AFC Hornchurch
SCHEDULEDEngland · National League · 8/31/2026, 2:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
Boston United are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (LWWDW), averaging 1.60 scored and 0.60 conceded, while AFC Hornchurch are 4W-1D-0L in their last 5 (WWWDW), averaging 2.20 scored and 0.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and AFC Hornchurch hold a 73.3-point power-rating edge (23.7 v 97.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely result in the National League, favouring a draw with 12.2% confidence, a 60% BTTS chance and 57% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
26.2%
Model confidence
12.2%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 8 · GA 3 · avg 1.60/0.60
GF 11 · GA 3 · avg 2.20/0.60