Boston Townvs
Nantwich Town
SCHEDULEDEngland · FA Trophy · 8/29/2026, 2:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Boston Town · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
Boston Town are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (LWWDL), averaging 0.80 scored and 0.60 conceded, while Nantwich Town are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (LLWLW), averaging 1.60 scored and 2.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Nantwich Town hold a 5.1-point power-rating edge (50.0 v 55.1). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 13.5% in the FA Trophy, while Boston Town holds the strongest overall chance at 37% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 56% BTTS chance and 50% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Boston Town
Probability
37.4%
Model confidence
13.5%
Boston Town has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 4 · GA 3 · avg 0.80/0.60
GF 8 · GA 12 · avg 1.60/2.40