Boston Rivervs
Sao Paulo
COMPLETEDWorld · CONMEBOL Sudamericana · 4/8/2026, 12:30:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Sao Paulo · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-1
Boston River are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (WWLWL), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Sao Paulo are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (WDLLW), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Sao Paulo hold a 27.2-point power-rating edge (36.8 v 64.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 45.2% in the CONMEBOL Sudamericana, while Sao Paulo holds the strongest overall chance at 45% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 32% BTTS chance and 26% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Sao Paulo
Probability
45.2%
Model confidence
45.2%
Sao Paulo has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 7 · GA 5 · avg 1.40/1.00
GF 7 · GA 5 · avg 1.40/1.00