GGOALVIO

World · CONMEBOL Sudamericana · 4/8/2026, 12:30:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Sao Paulo · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-1

Highconfidence

Boston River are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (WWLWL), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Sao Paulo are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (WDLLW), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Sao Paulo hold a 27.2-point power-rating edge (36.8 v 64.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 45.2% in the CONMEBOL Sudamericana, while Sao Paulo holds the strongest overall chance at 45% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 32% BTTS chance and 26% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Sao Paulo

Probability

45.2%

Model confidence

45.2%

Sao Paulo has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Boston RiverWWLWL

GF 7 · GA 5 · avg 1.40/1.00

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
Sao PauloWDLLW

GF 7 · GA 5 · avg 1.40/1.00

BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
Boston RiverSao Paulo
28.6Attack33.3
42.9Defence90.5
28.6Form61.9
36.8Power64.0
0.60xG1.16
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