Boston RivervsPenarol

Boston River are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (WLLWD), averaging 0.60 scored and 0.60 conceded, while Penarol are 4W-1D-0L in their last 5 (WWDWW), averaging 1.60 scored and 0.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 2 passed 2.5 goals, and Penarol hold a 23.2-point power-rating edge (42.7 v 65.9). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 56.9% in the Primera División, while Penarol holds the strongest overall chance at 57% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 32% BTTS chance and 31% for over 2.5 goals.