GGOALVIO

World · CONMEBOL Sudamericana · 4/22/2025, 10:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Boston River are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (WWLLD), averaging 1.60 scored and 2.00 conceded, while Nacional Potosí are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (DWLLW), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Nacional Potosí hold a 5.7-point power-rating edge (36.8 v 42.5). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 34.2% in the CONMEBOL Sudamericana, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 34% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 50% BTTS chance and 42% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Draw

Probability

34.2%

Model confidence

34.2%

Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Boston RiverWWLLD

GF 8 · GA 10 · avg 1.60/2.00

BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
Nacional PotosíDWLLW

GF 7 · GA 6 · avg 1.40/1.20

BTTS 1/5O2.5 2/5
Boston RiverNacional Potosí
28.6Attack38.1
42.9Defence38.1
28.6Form47.6
36.8Power42.5
1.18xG1.20
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