GGOALVIO

World · CONMEBOL Sudamericana · 5/7/2025, 12:30:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Independiente · BTTS No · Over 2.5 · 0-2

Highconfidence

Boston River are 5W-0D-0L in their last 5 (WWWWW), averaging 1.60 scored and 0.40 conceded, while Independiente are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (LLDLW), averaging 0.60 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 10 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and Independiente hold a 23.6-point power-rating edge (36.8 v 60.4). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-2 the most likely exact scoreline at 64.8% in the CONMEBOL Sudamericana, while Independiente holds the strongest overall chance at 65% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 45% BTTS chance and 51% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Independiente

Probability

64.8%

Model confidence

64.8%

Independiente has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Boston RiverWWWWW

GF 8 · GA 2 · avg 1.60/0.40

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
IndependienteLLDLW

GF 3 · GA 5 · avg 0.60/1.00

BTTS 1/5O2.5 1/5
Boston RiverIndependiente
28.6Attack70.8
42.9Defence66.7
28.6Form54.2
36.8Power60.4
0.71xG2.04
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