Boston Rivervs
Fenix
COMPLETEDUruguay · Copa Uruguay · 9/23/2026, 6:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Boston River · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (14%), 0-0 (9%), 1-0 (9%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Boston River 3-2 Fenix
Original prediction
Boston River
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 10 September 2026 at 17:40 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.96 | 46.1% | 38.6% | -7.5 pts |
| Draw | 3.13 | 28.7% | 28.2% | -0.5 pts |
| Away | 3.58 | 25.2% | 33.2% | 8.0 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.96 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-7.5 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–114%
- 2.0–09%
- 3.1–09%
Predicted outcome
Boston River
Probability
38.6%
Model confidence
38.6%
Boston River has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 6 · GA 6 · avg 1.20/1.20
GF 7 · GA 7 · avg 1.40/1.40