GGOALVIO

World · CONMEBOL Sudamericana · 4/1/2025, 10:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Club Guarani · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-1

Highconfidence

Boston River are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (LWLWL), averaging 0.80 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Club Guarani are 3W-2D-0L in their last 5 (WDWWD), averaging 1.40 scored and 0.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and Club Guarani hold a 20.1-point power-rating edge (36.8 v 56.9). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 50.4% in the CONMEBOL Sudamericana, while Club Guarani holds the strongest overall chance at 50% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 42% BTTS chance and 39% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Club Guarani

Probability

50.4%

Model confidence

50.4%

Club Guarani has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Boston RiverLWLWL

GF 4 · GA 5 · avg 0.80/1.00

BTTS 1/5O2.5 1/5
Club GuaraniWDWWD

GF 7 · GA 3 · avg 1.40/0.60

BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
Boston RiverClub Guarani
28.6Attack48.1
42.9Defence63.0
28.6Form55.6
36.8Power56.9
0.76xG1.48
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