GGOALVIO

Uruguay · Primera División · 2/12/2023, 12:45:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0

Highconfidence

Boston River are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WWWLD), averaging 1.80 scored and 0.80 conceded, while Cerro are 0W-3D-1L in their last 4 (LDDD), averaging 0.00 scored and 0.50 conceded. Both teams scored in 2 of those 9 games and 2 passed 2.5 goals, and Boston River hold a 4.8-point power-rating edge (42.7 v 37.9). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 42.6% in the Primera División, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 43% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 28% BTTS chance and 19% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Draw

Probability

42.6%

Model confidence

42.6%

Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Boston RiverWWWLD

GF 9 · GA 4 · avg 1.80/0.80

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
CerroLDDD

GF 0 · GA 2 · avg 0.00/0.50

BTTS 0/4O2.5 0/4
Boston RiverCerro
29.2Attack21.7
56.9Defence50.7
36.1Form31.9
42.7Power37.9
0.93xG0.58
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