Boston Rivervs
Cerro
COMPLETEDUruguay · Primera División · 2/12/2023, 12:45:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0
Boston River are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WWWLD), averaging 1.80 scored and 0.80 conceded, while Cerro are 0W-3D-1L in their last 4 (LDDD), averaging 0.00 scored and 0.50 conceded. Both teams scored in 2 of those 9 games and 2 passed 2.5 goals, and Boston River hold a 4.8-point power-rating edge (42.7 v 37.9). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 42.6% in the Primera División, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 43% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 28% BTTS chance and 19% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
42.6%
Model confidence
42.6%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 9 · GA 4 · avg 1.80/0.80
GF 0 · GA 2 · avg 0.00/0.50