Boston Rivervs
Cerro
COMPLETEDUruguay · Primera División · 5/16/2026, 3:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0
Boston River are 1W-0D-4L in their last 5 (LLWLL), averaging 1.20 scored and 2.60 conceded, while Cerro are 0W-2D-3L in their last 5 (LLLDD), averaging 0.60 scored and 2.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Boston River hold a 4.8-point power-rating edge (42.7 v 37.9). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 42.6% in the Primera División, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 43% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 28% BTTS chance and 19% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
42.6%
Model confidence
42.6%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 6 · GA 13 · avg 1.20/2.60
GF 3 · GA 10 · avg 0.60/2.00