GGOALVIO

USA · NWSL Women · 8/9/2026, 8:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-1

Mediumconfidence

Boston Legacy W are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (DWLWW), averaging 1.20 scored and 0.60 conceded, while Portland Thorns W are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (LDLLW), averaging 1.60 scored and 2.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and portland Thorns W hold a 8.1-point power-rating edge (45.1 v 53.2). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely result in the NWSL Women, favouring a draw with 14.4% confidence, a 48% BTTS chance and 41% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Draw

Probability

30.6%

Model confidence

14.4%

Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Boston Legacy WDWLWW

GF 6 · GA 3 · avg 1.20/0.60

BTTS 2/5O2.5 1/5
Portland Thorns WLDLLW

GF 8 · GA 11 · avg 1.60/2.20

BTTS 3/5O2.5 4/5
Boston Legacy WPortland Thorns W
35.2Attack51.9
55.6Defence53.7
37.0Form51.9
45.1Power53.2
1.02xG1.30
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