GGOALVIO

USA · NWSL Women · 4/29/2026, 11:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

North Carolina Courage W · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Mediumconfidence

Boston Legacy W are 0W-0D-5L in their last 5 (LLLLL), averaging 0.20 scored and 1.80 conceded, while North Carolina Courage W are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (WDLDW), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and North Carolina Courage W hold an 11.7-point power-rating edge (44.1 v 55.8). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 12.8% in the NWSL Women, while North Carolina Courage W holds the strongest overall chance at 48% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 56% BTTS chance and 53% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

North Carolina Courage W

Probability

47.8%

Model confidence

12.8%

North Carolina Courage W has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Boston Legacy WLLLLL

GF 1 · GA 9 · avg 0.20/1.80

BTTS 1/5O2.5 2/5
North Carolina Courage WWDLDW

GF 6 · GA 6 · avg 1.20/1.20

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
Boston Legacy WNorth Carolina Courage W
38.6Attack59.3
50.9Defence51.9
35.1Form55.6
44.1Power55.8
1.15xG1.66
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