Borussia Mönchengladbachvs
SV Elversberg
COMPLETEDGermany · Bundesliga · 9/5/2026, 1:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
SV Elversberg · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (10%), 1-2 (9%), 2-2 (7%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Borussia Mönchengladbach 3-4 SV Elversberg
Original prediction
SV Elversberg
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 27 August 2026 at 00:16 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 3.50+| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.88 | 50.5% | 35.9% | -14.6 pts |
| Draw | 3.82 | 24.8% | 25.8% | 1.0 pts |
| Away | 3.84 | 24.7% | 38.3% | 13.6 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 2.84 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
13.6 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–110%
- 2.1–29%
- 3.2–27%
Predicted outcome
SV Elversberg
Probability
38.3%
Model confidence
38.3%
SV Elversberg has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 18 · GA 5 · avg 3.60/1.00
GF 16 · GA 7 · avg 3.20/1.40