Borussia Mönchengladbachvs
Karlsruher SC
COMPLETEDGermany · DFB Pokal · 10/27/2026, 7:45:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Borussia Mönchengladbach · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 2-1 (9%), 1-1 (8%), 2-2 (7%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Borussia Mönchengladbach 2-0 Karlsruher SC
Original prediction
Borussia Mönchengladbach
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 3 October 2026 at 06:37 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.44 | 64.4% | 48.3% | -16.1 pts |
| Draw | 4.72 | 19.7% | 24.0% | 4.3 pts |
| Away | 5.83 | 15.9% | 27.7% | 11.8 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.44 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-16.1 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.2–19%
- 2.1–18%
- 3.2–27%
Predicted outcome
Borussia Mönchengladbach
Probability
48.3%
Model confidence
48.3%
Borussia Mönchengladbach has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 9 · GA 7 · avg 1.80/1.40
GF 7 · GA 10 · avg 1.40/2.00