GGOALVIO

Germany · Regionalliga - West · 7/29/2023, 12:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Borussia M'gladbach II · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Borussia M'gladbach II are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (LWWLD), averaging 2.40 scored and 2.60 conceded, while Düren Merzenich are 4W-0D-1L in their last 5 (WWWLW), averaging 3.60 scored and 0.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 8 passed 2.5 goals, and Borussia M'gladbach II hold a 37.4-point power-rating edge (91.7 v 54.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 47.4% in the Regionalliga - West, while Borussia M'gladbach II holds the strongest overall chance at 47% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 63% BTTS chance and 62% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Borussia M'gladbach II

Probability

47.4%

Model confidence

47.4%

Borussia M'gladbach II has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Borussia M'gladbach IILWWLD

GF 12 · GA 13 · avg 2.40/2.60

BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
Düren MerzenichWWWLW

GF 18 · GA 4 · avg 3.60/0.80

BTTS 2/5O2.5 4/5
Borussia M'gladbach IIDüren Merzenich
83.3Attack58.8
83.3Defence53.9
100.0Form49.0
91.7Power54.3
1.91xG1.33
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