Borussia M'gladbach IIvs
Borussia Dortmund II
COMPLETEDGermany · Regionalliga - West · 9/5/2026, 12:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Borussia M'gladbach II · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (12%), 2-1 (10%), 2-0 (7%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Borussia M'gladbach II 0-0 Borussia Dortmund II
Original prediction
Borussia M'gladbach II
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 27 August 2026 at 00:15 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.39 | 37.7% | 43.8% | 6.1 pts |
| Draw | 3.65 | 24.7% | 24.6% | -0.1 pts |
| Away | 2.40 | 37.6% | 31.6% | -6.0 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.65 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
6.1 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–112%
- 2.2–110%
- 3.2–07%
Predicted outcome
Borussia M'gladbach II
Probability
43.8%
Model confidence
43.8%
Borussia M'gladbach II has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 13 · GA 6 · avg 2.60/1.20
GF 10 · GA 4 · avg 2.00/0.80