GGOALVIO

Germany · Regionalliga - West · 10/2/2026, 5:30:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Borussia M'gladbach II · BTTS No · Over 2.5

Most likely scores: 3-0 (13%), 2-0 (12%), 4-0 (11%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.

Prediction record

Final result

Borussia M'gladbach II 2-3 Bochum II

Original prediction

Borussia M'gladbach II

Outcome

Incorrect

Prediction record created 18 September 2026 at 00:01 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.

Value and market comparison

Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00
MarketOddsImplied probabilityModel probabilityDifference
Home1.4163.9%69.1%5.1 pts
Draw4.3420.7%17.5%-3.2 pts
Away5.8615.3%13.4%-1.9 pts

Historical EV

1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -

Value score

5.2 pts

Most Likely Scores

  1. 1.3–013%
  2. 2.2–012%
  3. 3.4–011%

Predicted outcome

Borussia M'gladbach II

Probability

69.1%

Model confidence

69.1%

Borussia M'gladbach II has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Borussia M'gladbach IIWLWWD

GF 10 · GA 4 · avg 2.00/0.80

BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
Bochum IILWLLL

GF 4 · GA 10 · avg 0.80/2.00

BTTS 1/5O2.5 2/5
Borussia M'gladbach IIBochum II
76.7Attack36.7
66.7Defence40.0
66.7Form26.7
68.5Power36.7
3.30xG0.62
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