GGOALVIO

Germany · DFB Junioren Pokal · 9/3/2023, 11:00:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Mainz 05 U19 · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-2

Highconfidence

Borussia M'bach U19 are 2W-0D-2L in their last 4 (LLWW), averaging 2.00 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Mainz 05 U19 are 2W-2D-0L in their last 4 (WWDD), averaging 1.50 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 8 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Mainz 05 U19 hold a 57.1-point power-rating edge (15.3 v 72.5). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-2 the most likely exact scoreline at 47.7% in the DFB Junioren Pokal, while Mainz 05 U19 holds the strongest overall chance at 48% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 76% BTTS chance and 80% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Mainz 05 U19

Probability

47.7%

Model confidence

47.7%

Mainz 05 U19 has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Borussia M'bach U19LLWW

GF 8 · GA 4 · avg 2.00/1.00

BTTS 2/4O2.5 3/4
Mainz 05 U19WWDD

GF 6 · GA 4 · avg 1.50/1.00

BTTS 2/4O2.5 2/4
Borussia M'bach U19Mainz 05 U19
33.3Attack75.0
0.0Defence66.7
0.0Form75.0
15.3Power72.5
1.63xG2.78
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