Borussia Dortmundvs
Eintracht Frankfurt
COMPLETEDGermany · Bundesliga · 10/24/2026, 4:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Borussia Dortmund · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 3-1 (9%), 2-1 (9%), 3-0 (9%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Borussia Dortmund 1-0 Eintracht Frankfurt
Original prediction
Borussia Dortmund
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 24 September 2026 at 00:05 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.49 | 63.7% | 66.6% | 3.0 pts |
| Draw | 4.94 | 19.2% | 17.8% | -1.4 pts |
| Away | 5.54 | 17.1% | 15.6% | -1.5 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.49 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
3.0 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.3–19%
- 2.2–19%
- 3.3–09%
Predicted outcome
Borussia Dortmund
Probability
66.6%
Model confidence
66.6%
Borussia Dortmund has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 5 · GA 4 · avg 1.00/0.80
GF 10 · GA 9 · avg 2.00/1.80