Borussia Dortmundvs
Bayern München
COMPLETEDGermany · Super Cup · 8/22/2026, 6:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Borussia Dortmund · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (10%), 2-1 (10%), 2-0 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Borussia Dortmund 1-2 Bayern München
Original prediction
Borussia Dortmund
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 20 August 2026 at 00:16 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.3-draw-refit.
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–110%
- 2.2–110%
- 3.2–08%
Predicted outcome
Borussia Dortmund
Probability
38.1%
Model confidence
38.1%
Borussia Dortmund has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
Borussia DortmundDWLLW
GF 7 · GA 6 · avg 1.40/1.20
BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
Bayern MünchenWWWWL
GF 12 · GA 7 · avg 2.40/1.40
BTTS 5/5O2.5 5/5
Borussia DortmundBayern München
50.0Attack0.0
50.0Defence0.0
50.0Form0.0
50.0Power7.0
2.17xG1.29