Borussia Dortmund U19vs
Villarreal U19
COMPLETEDWorld · UEFA Youth League · 9/8/2026, 2:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Borussia Dortmund U19 0-0 Villarreal U19, with an exact score probability of 26%.
Prediction record
Final result
Borussia Dortmund U19 2-3 Villarreal U19
Original prediction
Draw
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 3 September 2026 at 07:56 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 3.50+| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.15 | 41.8% | 36.5% | -5.2 pts |
| Draw | 3.69 | 24.4% | 31.6% | 7.3 pts |
| Away | 2.66 | 33.9% | 31.8% | -2.1 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
7.3 pts
Projected Score
Borussia Dortmund U19 0–0 Villarreal U19
Exact score probability: 26%
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
31.6%
Model confidence
36.5%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 13 · GA 4 · avg 2.60/0.80
GF 0 · GA 0 · avg 0.00/0.00