Borussia Dortmund IIvs
Schalke 04 II
COMPLETEDGermany · Regionalliga - West · 9/1/2026, 5:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Borussia Dortmund II · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 2-1 (9%), 1-1 (9%), 2-2 (7%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Borussia Dortmund II 3-1 Schalke 04 II
Original prediction
Borussia Dortmund II
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 27 August 2026 at 00:03 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.98 | 45.7% | 47.5% | 1.8 pts |
| Draw | 3.73 | 24.2% | 23.5% | -0.7 pts |
| Away | 3.01 | 30.1% | 29.0% | -1.1 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.98 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
1.8 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.2–19%
- 2.1–19%
- 3.2–27%
Predicted outcome
Borussia Dortmund II
Probability
47.5%
Model confidence
47.5%
Borussia Dortmund II has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 12 · GA 4 · avg 2.40/0.80
GF 13 · GA 11 · avg 2.60/2.20