Borussia Dortmund IIvs
Freiburg II
COMPLETEDGermany · 3. Liga · 8/20/2023, 11:30:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Borussia Dortmund II · BTTS No · Over 2.5 · 2-0
Borussia Dortmund II are 3W-2D-0L in their last 5 (DWDWW), averaging 1.20 scored and 0.20 conceded, while Freiburg II are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (DLWLD), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 10 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and Borussia Dortmund II hold a 15.2-point power-rating edge (51.8 v 36.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 60.7% in the 3. Liga, while Borussia Dortmund II holds the strongest overall chance at 61% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 48% BTTS chance and 52% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Borussia Dortmund II
Probability
60.7%
Model confidence
60.7%
Borussia Dortmund II has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 6 · GA 1 · avg 1.20/0.20
GF 5 · GA 8 · avg 1.00/1.60