GGOALVIO

Germany · 3. Liga · 8/20/2023, 11:30:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Borussia Dortmund II · BTTS No · Over 2.5 · 2-0

Highconfidence

Borussia Dortmund II are 3W-2D-0L in their last 5 (DWDWW), averaging 1.20 scored and 0.20 conceded, while Freiburg II are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (DLWLD), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 10 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and Borussia Dortmund II hold a 15.2-point power-rating edge (51.8 v 36.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 60.7% in the 3. Liga, while Borussia Dortmund II holds the strongest overall chance at 61% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 48% BTTS chance and 52% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Borussia Dortmund II

Probability

60.7%

Model confidence

60.7%

Borussia Dortmund II has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Borussia Dortmund IIDWDWW

GF 6 · GA 1 · avg 1.20/0.20

BTTS 1/5O2.5 1/5
Freiburg IIDLWLD

GF 5 · GA 8 · avg 1.00/1.60

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
Borussia Dortmund IIFreiburg II
50.9Attack32.5
53.5Defence43.9
47.4Form26.3
51.8Power36.7
1.96xG0.81
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