Borussia Dortmund IIvs
FC Bocholt
COMPLETEDGermany · Regionalliga - West · 9/26/2026, 12:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Borussia Dortmund II · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 2-1 (10%), 2-0 (8%), 3-1 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Borussia Dortmund II 4-2 FC Bocholt
Original prediction
Borussia Dortmund II
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 12 September 2026 at 00:00 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.95 | 46.6% | 61.8% | 15.2 pts |
| Draw | 3.81 | 23.8% | 18.8% | -5.0 pts |
| Away | 3.06 | 29.6% | 19.4% | -10.2 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.95 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
15.2 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.2–110%
- 2.2–08%
- 3.3–18%
Predicted outcome
Borussia Dortmund II
Probability
61.8%
Model confidence
61.8%
Borussia Dortmund II has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 9 · GA 5 · avg 1.80/1.00
GF 10 · GA 9 · avg 2.00/1.80