Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Bornheim · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 4-1
Bornheim are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (DDWLL), averaging 2.60 scored and 2.00 conceded, while SF Düren are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (WLLLD), averaging 1.60 scored and 2.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 8 of those 10 games and 9 passed 2.5 goals, and Bornheim hold a 30.4-point power-rating edge (53.1 v 22.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 4-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 78.2% in the Oberliga - Mittelrhein, while Bornheim holds the strongest overall chance at 78% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 76% BTTS chance and 91% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Bornheim
Probability
78.2%
Model confidence
78.2%
Bornheim has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 13 · GA 10 · avg 2.60/2.00
GF 8 · GA 14 · avg 1.60/2.80