Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Bornheim · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 3-1
Bornheim are 4W-0D-1L in their last 5 (WLWWW), averaging 3.00 scored and 1.80 conceded, while Porz are 0W-1D-4L in their last 5 (LLLLD), averaging 1.60 scored and 6.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 9 passed 2.5 goals, and Bornheim hold a 13.8-point power-rating edge (53.1 v 39.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 3-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 69.2% in the Oberliga - Mittelrhein, while Bornheim holds the strongest overall chance at 69% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 77% BTTS chance and 87% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Bornheim
Probability
69.2%
Model confidence
69.2%
Bornheim has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 15 · GA 9 · avg 3.00/1.80
GF 8 · GA 30 · avg 1.60/6.00