Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Bornheim · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 3-1
Bornheim are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (LLWDL), averaging 1.20 scored and 2.20 conceded, while Porz are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (LLWWL), averaging 2.00 scored and 2.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Bornheim hold a 13.8-point power-rating edge (53.1 v 39.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 3-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 69.2% in the Oberliga - Mittelrhein, while Bornheim holds the strongest overall chance at 69% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 77% BTTS chance and 87% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Bornheim
Probability
69.2%
Model confidence
69.2%
Bornheim has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 6 · GA 11 · avg 1.20/2.20
GF 10 · GA 12 · avg 2.00/2.40