Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Bornheim · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-2
Bornheim are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (LLDWW), averaging 1.60 scored and 1.40 conceded, while Pesch are 0W-1D-4L in their last 5 (LDLLL), averaging 1.00 scored and 4.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Bornheim hold a 6.6-point power-rating edge (53.1 v 46.5). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-2 the most likely exact scoreline at 51.6% in the Oberliga - Mittelrhein, while Bornheim holds the strongest overall chance at 52% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 81% BTTS chance and 85% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Bornheim
Probability
51.6%
Model confidence
51.6%
Bornheim has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 8 · GA 7 · avg 1.60/1.40
GF 5 · GA 20 · avg 1.00/4.00