Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Bornheim · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 3-1
Bornheim are 4W-0D-1L in their last 5 (WLWWW), averaging 3.00 scored and 1.80 conceded, while Hennef 05 are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (LLWWW), averaging 2.20 scored and 1.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 8 passed 2.5 goals, and Bornheim hold a 12.1-point power-rating edge (53.1 v 41.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 3-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 65.5% in the Oberliga - Mittelrhein, while Bornheim holds the strongest overall chance at 65% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 79% BTTS chance and 87% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Bornheim
Probability
65.5%
Model confidence
65.5%
Bornheim has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 15 · GA 9 · avg 3.00/1.80
GF 11 · GA 8 · avg 2.20/1.60