Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Guria · BTTS No · Over 2.5 · 0-3
Borjomi are 1W-0D-2L in their last 3 (LLW), averaging 1.00 scored and 2.67 conceded, while Guria are 2W-0D-2L in their last 4 (LLWW), averaging 1.25 scored and 2.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 7 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Guria hold a 38.8-point power-rating edge (36.9 v 75.8). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-3 the most likely exact scoreline at 84.5% in the Liga 3, while Guria holds the strongest overall chance at 85% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 41% BTTS chance and 69% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Guria
Probability
84.5%
Model confidence
84.5%
Guria has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 3 · GA 8 · avg 1.00/2.67
GF 5 · GA 8 · avg 1.25/2.00