Boreham Woodvs
Middlesbrough U21
COMPLETEDEngland · National League Cup · 10/20/2026, 6:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Boreham Wood · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (13%), 2-1 (9%), 1-0 (9%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Boreham Wood 7-1 Middlesbrough U21
Original prediction
Boreham Wood
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 20 October 2026 at 00:03 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.20-1.40| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.29 | 70.1% | 46.3% | -23.8 pts |
| Draw | 5.38 | 16.8% | 25.6% | 8.8 pts |
| Away | 6.88 | 13.1% | 28.1% | 15.0 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.29 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-23.8 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–113%
- 2.2–19%
- 3.1–09%
Predicted outcome
Boreham Wood
Probability
46.3%
Model confidence
46.3%
Boreham Wood has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 14 · GA 4 · avg 2.80/0.80
GF 9 · GA 9 · avg 1.80/1.80