Boreham Woodvs
Kidderminster Harriers
COMPLETEDEngland · National League · 9/29/2026, 6:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Boreham Wood · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (13%), 1-0 (12%), 2-0 (10%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Boreham Wood 3-1 Kidderminster Harriers
Original prediction
Boreham Wood
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 15 September 2026 at 00:00 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.20-1.40| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.35 | 68.1% | 53.3% | -14.8 pts |
| Draw | 4.75 | 19.3% | 24.6% | 5.3 pts |
| Away | 7.29 | 12.6% | 22.1% | 9.5 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.35 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-14.8 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–113%
- 2.1–012%
- 3.2–010%
Predicted outcome
Boreham Wood
Probability
53.3%
Model confidence
53.3%
Boreham Wood has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 12 · GA 4 · avg 2.40/0.80
GF 7 · GA 2 · avg 1.40/0.40