Boreham Woodvs
Harrogate Town
COMPLETEDEngland · National League · 9/19/2026, 2:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Boreham Wood · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 2-1 (9%), 1-1 (8%), 2-2 (7%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Boreham Wood 4-1 Harrogate Town
Original prediction
Boreham Wood
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 5 September 2026 at 00:06 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.68 | 54.4% | 53.0% | -1.4 pts |
| Draw | 3.99 | 22.9% | 20.4% | -2.4 pts |
| Away | 4.01 | 22.8% | 26.6% | 3.8 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.68 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-1.4 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.2–19%
- 2.1–18%
- 3.2–27%
Predicted outcome
Boreham Wood
Probability
53.0%
Model confidence
53.0%
Boreham Wood has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 10 · GA 6 · avg 2.00/1.20
GF 9 · GA 7 · avg 1.80/1.40