Boreham Woodvs
Boston United
COMPLETEDEngland · National League · 8/27/2026, 6:45:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Boreham Wood · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (13%), 2-1 (10%), 1-0 (9%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Boreham Wood 2-1 Boston United
Original prediction
Boreham Wood
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 26 August 2026 at 00:49 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.57 | 58.2% | 48.4% | -9.7 pts |
| Draw | 4.07 | 22.5% | 25.3% | 2.8 pts |
| Away | 4.74 | 19.3% | 26.3% | 6.9 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.57 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-9.8 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–113%
- 2.2–110%
- 3.1–09%
Predicted outcome
Boreham Wood
Probability
48.4%
Model confidence
48.4%
Boreham Wood has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 13 · GA 6 · avg 2.60/1.20
GF 3 · GA 3 · avg 0.60/0.60